Volume 15, Issue 10 , Pages 1277-1287, October 2009
The Effect of Smoking on Allogeneic Transplant Outcomes
Article Outline
- Abstract
- Introduction
- Patient Selection and Inclusion Criteria
- Results
- Discussion
- Acknowledgments
- References
- Copyright
Using the Center for Internaitonal Blood and Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR) data, we compared the transplant outcomes of patients with chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML) who were nonsmokers (NS) and past or current smokers (PCS). There were 2193 NS and 625 PCS who received matched sibling and unrelated donor allografts for CML in first chronic phase. We looked for dose effects and identified low and high dose smoking groups (>10 pack years, >1 pack per day). Outcomes were adjusted for known prognostic variables including the European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplant (EBMT) risk score. In multivariate analyses of sibling allograft recipients, relapse risk (RR) was higher (RR
=
1.67, P
=
.003) in smokers than NS, but the dose effects were not consistent. High-dose smokers experienced a 50% treatment-related mortality (TRM) versus 28% in the NS group at 5 years on univariate analysis, and the RR was 1.57 (P
=
.005) on multivariate analysis. Overall survival (OS) at 5 years was 68% in NS versus 62% in the low-dose smoking group versus 50% in the high-dose smoking group (P < .001). Smoking did not significantly affect outcomes in unrelated donor recipients, but numbers were smaller. High-dose smoking is associated with a reduction in OS in patients having sibling allografts for CML. A prospective study with detailed demographic, pulmonary function, and quality-of-life data would improve our understanding of this issue.
Keywords: Smoking effect, Hematopoietic cell transplantation, Outcomes, Chronic myelogenous leukemia, Dose effect
Introduction
Allogeneic stem cell transplantation is widely used to cure patients with leukemia and other hematologic conditions. Various biologic factors influence the transplant outcome of patients with chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML). These include patient age [1] (Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research [CIBMTR], unpublished data), performance status at transplant [2], and body mass index [1]. Pretransplant pulmonary function may also affect overall transplant outcome and posttransplant respiratory complications 3, 4. One of the major causes of pretransplant respiratory abnormalities is cigarette smoking. Depending on the population studied, between 20% and 50% of adult allogeneic transplant candidates have a current smoking history, and many additional patients have a past smoking history. Smoking, as well as affecting pulmonary function, can influence the risk of coronary artery disease [5], and is an important cause of lung cancer (which may be increased after allogeneic transplantation) [6]. Smokers are known to have different demographics than nonsmokers (NS). They are more likely to be male, of a lower socioeconomic status 7, 8, and have a higher alcohol intake [9]. In studies of the effect of smoking on health outcomes, it is possible that these associations of smoking may affect the outcomes.
No large-scale studies address the effect of smoking on transplant outcome. The CIBMTR database, which includes data on smoking history, is ideal for this purpose. We hypothesized that a smoking history would significantly reduce the chance of a successful transplant outcome by increasing treatment-related mortality (TRM), primarily through pulmonary complications, including infection. Relapse incidence was also studied because physicians may have altered conditioning in patients who smoke. Smoking may affect the incidence of secondary malignancies, but this study was not designed to address this issue.
We elected to study patients with CML in first chronic phase (CP1), because we hypothesized that examining the effect of smoking in a chemotherapy naïve population would “isolate” the effect of smoking. Smoking might make pulmonary complications more likely after pretransplant chemotherapy, but we wished to study the effect of smoking on transplant alone. This focus on CML also eliminated a potential source of patient heterogeneity, and the prognostic factors affecting the transplant outcome of CML patients are well described [10]. We analyzed sibling and unrelated donor transplants separately, as the latter has a greater TRM and may have received higher doses of total body irradiation (TBI).
There are numerous practical implications of performing this study. Transplant teams will be able to inform better patients who smoke about the chances of a successful outcome. The study may generate information that enables transplanters to modify conditioning regimens to increase the chance of a successful outcome. Finally, when the causes of treatment failure are determined, transplanters may be able to direct their supportive care efforts to preventing specific problems.
Patient Selection and Inclusion Criteria
Patient data for this study were obtained from the CIBMTR. More than 500 participating centers register consecutive allogeneic transplants to CIBMTR. Detailed demographic and clinical data are collected on a sample of registered patients. Compliance is monitored by on-site audits. Computerized error checks, physician reviews of submitted data, and on-site audits of centers ensure the quality of data.
This study included all patients between 1990 and 2004, aged 18 years and above, who received HLA-identical sibling or matched unrelated donor (MUD) allogeneic transplants for CML in CP1 for whom a smoking history was known. Patients received busulphan (Bu) and cyclophosphamide (Cy) or TBI and Cy for conditioning. Graft type was restricted to bone marrow (BM) or peripheral blood (PB). Graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis was restricted to cyclosporine (CsA) and methotrexate (MTX), tacrolimus and MTX, T cell depletion, or CsA and other immunosuppressive agents. Patients who received low-dose oral Bu prior to transplant were excluded.
The number of patients with CML in CP1 aged >18 years who had allografts reported to the CIBMTR between 1990 and 2004 was 5461. A total of 5022 patients received a sibling or MUD allograft of BM or PB. We only included the 4409 receiving Cy/TBI or Bu/Cy conditioning and excluded the patients who had received prior low-dose Bu, leaving 3880 patients. We confined our study to 3793 patients with specific types of GVHD prophylaxis (defined before). Finally, we had quantitative smoking information for 2818 of these patients.
Smoking Data
Patients were categorized as NS or past or current smokers (PCS) based on self-reported responses extracted from medical notes by data managers completing the CIBMTR forms. The questions, which asked about smoking history, varied slightly in 1989, 1995, and 2002. However, all questionnaire versions enquired about duration and number of cigarettes per day. The quantitative data regarded number of years smoked and amount per day (<1 pack, 1 pack and >1 pack) enabling us to compare the major outcomes in these groups and look for a dose effect. In this study PCS are termed “smokers.” We divided smokers into 2 “doses”: high-dose smokers had accumulated >10 pack years and smoked >1 pack per day, and low-dose smokers had ≤10 pack years or ≤1 pack per day.
Statistical Methods
Patient-, disease-, and treatment-related variables for patients in the 3 smoking groups were compared using chi-square test for categoric variables and the Kruskal-Wallis test for continuous variables. P-values for pair-wise comparison were adjusted using Bonferroni correction.
The primary endpoints were relapse, TRM, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS). The event relapse was defined as occurrence of CML (clinical and/or cytogenetic) posttransplant. TRM was defined as death within 28 days posttransplant or death without CML relapse. Smoking may affect the incidence of fungal infection, but because our data does not allow us to verify this diagnosis, this was not an endpoint of the study.
Probabilities of TRM and relapse were calculated using the cumulative incidence function method [11]. Treatment-related death and relapse were the competing events. Data on patients without either competing event were censored at last follow-up. For analyses of survival, death from any cause was considered an event and surviving patients were censored at last follow-up. For analyses of DFS, we considered relapse or death an event.
All P values were 2 sided, and a value of <.05 was considered statistically significant.
Cox proportional hazards models were used to adjust for patient-related, disease-related, and treatment-related covariates. A main effect term for smoking was forced into the model. The remaining covariates were included using a stepwise forward selection technique with a value of P ≤ .05 as the criterion for inclusion in the final models. Other variables considered in the models include: recipient age, sex, region of transplant center, performance score, white blood cells (WBC) at diagnosis, body mass index prior to transplant, spleen size at diagnosis, pretransplant use of hydroxyurea, interferon, or gleevec, interval from diagnosis to transplant, year of transplant, HLA matching, conditioning regimen, use of antithymocyte globulin (ATG) or alemtuzamab antibody therapy prior to transplant, use of lung shielding in radiation therapy, GVHD prophylaxis, donor age, donor-recipient sex match, source of graft, European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplant (EBMT) risk score, cytomegalovirus (CMV) status, and coexisting disease. The EBMT risk score is a scoring system designed by the European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation to predict the survival after allogeneic transplant for CML patient [10]. Higher score indicates a lower probability of survival. The CIBMTR does not collect sufficient data to calculate a Sokol score. Pulmonary function test data is not routinely collected by CIBMTR.
The proportional hazards assumption for each variable was examined using time-varying covariate and graphical approaches. Stratified proportional hazards models were used when variables with nonproportional hazards were identified. No significant interactions between smoking and other explanatory variables were found. There were no statistically significant center effects. In addition to the comparison of NS with PCS, we also considered models with subgroups of PCS based on years smoked and average packs per day. The cut point for years smoked (≤10 years versus >10 years) was selected based on plots of the Martingale residuals. Because age is related to duration of smoking, we tested for confounding by analyzing the subgroup of patients 30 years of age and older to determine consistency of effect relative to the group of all patients. Analyses were performed with the use of SAS software, version 9.1 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).
Because data regarding smoking exposure was limited, we considered 5 models in looking for an effect of smoking. First, we simply compared PCS and NS. Second, PCS were divided according to duration of smoking (≤10 years and >10 years). Third, the average number of packs per day was divided into <1 pack, 1 pack, >1 pack. Fourth, we compared smokers with >10 pack years and ≤10 pack years. In the fifth model, we combined models 2, 3, and 4 and compared low- and high-dose smokers as stated above. This results and discussion will be focused on the fifth model.
Results
Patient Characteristics in Sibling Allograft Recipients
Table 1 shows the characteristics of patients >18 years with CML who had sibling donor transplants, and compares NSs and those who are low- or high-dose smokers. Table 2 shows similar data for recipients of unrelated donor transplants. We divided smokers into 2 “doses.” In the sibling allograft recipients, high-dose smokers (n
=
94) had accumulated >10 pack years and smoked >1 pack per day, and low-dose smokers (n
=
370) had ≤10 pack years or ≤1 pack per day. Overall, the median number of years of smoking was 15 years, and 22% smoked >1 pack per day.
Table 1. Characteristics of Patients ≥18 Years Receiving HLA-Identical Sibling Donor Rransplants for CML in First Chronic Phase, Reported to the CIBMTR, 1990-2004
| Smokers | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nonsmokers | Low Dose∗ | High Dose∗ | ||||
| Variables | N | N (%) | N | N (%) | N | N (%) |
| Number of patients | 1649 | 370 | 94 | |||
| Age at transplant, years, median (range) | 1649 | 37 (18-61) | 370 | 38 (18-66) | 94 | 45 (22-58) |
| Age at transplant, years | 1649 | 370 | 94 | |||
| 419 (25) | 67 (18) | 6 (6) | ||||
| 580 (35) | 134 (36) | 22 (23) | ||||
| 466 (28) | 115 (31) | 48 (51) | ||||
| 184 (11) | 54 (15) | 18 (19) | ||||
| Male | 1649 | 888 (54) | 370 | 262 (71) | 94 | 68 (72) |
| Region | 1648 | 370 | 94 | |||
| 499 (30) | 126 (34) | 53 (56) | ||||
| 60 (4) | 14 (4) | 8 (9) | ||||
| 594 (36) | 141 (38) | 20 (21) | ||||
| 143 (9) | 20 (5) | 4 (4) | ||||
| 88 (5) | 13 (4) | 3 (3) | ||||
| 139 (8) | 12 (3) | 3 (3) | ||||
| 125 (8) | 44 (12) | 3 (3) | ||||
| Karnofsky score (< 90%) | 1637 | 171 (10) | 366 | 42 (11) | 92 | 15 (16) |
| Number of packs per day | 370 | 94 | ||||
| – | 363 (98) | – | ||||
| – | 7 (2) | 94 (100) | ||||
| Number of years smoked, median (range) | – | 370 | 12 (1-43) | 94 | 20 (5-44) | |
| Smoking pack-year,median (range) | – | 370 | 10 (<1-43) | 94 | 34 (12-140) | |
| Smoking pack-year, | 370 | 94 | ||||
| – | 222 (60) | – | ||||
| – | 148 (40) | 94 (100) | ||||
| Body mass index, kg/m2 | 1635 | 369 | 94 | |||
| 380 (23) | 69 (19) | 19 (20) | ||||
| 1012 (62) | 238 (64) | 59 (63) | ||||
| 243 (15) | 62 (17) | 16 (17) | ||||
| White cell count at diagnosis, 109/L, median (range) | 1529 | 145 (1-800) | 347 | 114 (7-650) | 89 | 96 (4-387) |
| White cell count at diagnosis, 109/L | 1529 | 347 | 89 | |||
| 282 (18) | 91 (26) | 26 (29) | ||||
| 290 (19) | 68 (20) | 24 (27) | ||||
| 957 (63) | 188 (54) | 39 (44) | ||||
| Spleen size at diagnosis | 1477 | 342 | 81 | |||
| 467 (32) | 127 (37) | 31 (38) | ||||
| 1010 (68) | 215 (63) | 50 (62) | ||||
| Coexisting diseases | 1646 | 369 | 94 | |||
| 9 (1) | 2 (1) | 4 (4) | ||||
| 107 (7) | 32 (9) | 14 (15) | ||||
| 28 (2) | 12 (3) | 7 (7) | ||||
| 214 (13) | 60 (16) | 20 (21) | ||||
| 1288 (78) | 263 (71) | 49 (52) | ||||
| Pretransplant therapy for CML | ||||||
| 1634 | 1510 (92) | 368 | 333 (90) | 94 | 78 (83) | |
| 1205 | 578 (48) | 269 | 127 (47) | 75 | 33 (44) | |
| 1648 | 50 (3) | 370 | 9 (2) | 94 | 4 (4) | |
| Time from diagnosis to transplant, months, median (range) | 1649 | 8 (<1-127) | 370 | 9 (1-72) | 94 | 7 (2-99) |
| Time from diagnosis to transplant, months | 1649 | 370 | 94 | |||
| 522 (32) | 108 (29) | 38 (40) | ||||
| 591 (36) | 138 (37) | 31 (33) | ||||
| 380 (23) | 90 (24) | 18 (19) | ||||
| 156 (9) | 34 (9) | 7 (7) | ||||
| EBMT risk score | 1647 | 370 | 94 | |||
| 572 (35) | 92 (25) | 16 (17) | ||||
| 717 (44) | 171 (46) | 48 (51) | ||||
| 322 (20) | 91 (25) | 26 (28) | ||||
| 36 (2) | 16 (4) | 4 (4) | ||||
| Year of transplant | 1649 | 370 | 94 | |||
| 746 (45) | 155 (42) | 44 (47) | ||||
| 655 (40) | 173 (47) | 44 (47) | ||||
| 248 (15) | 42 (11) | 6 (6) | ||||
| Conditioning regimen | 1649 | 370 | 94 | |||
| 591 (36) | 124 (34) | 36 (38) | ||||
| 1058 (64) | 246 (66) | 58 (62) | ||||
| Dose of Cy,† mg/kg | 1432 | 320 | 76 | |||
| 1267 (88) | 279 (87) | 65 (86) | ||||
| 165 (12) | 41 (13) | 11 (14) | ||||
| Dose of Bu, mg/kg | 1627 | 366 | 93 | |||
| 591 (36) | 124 (34) | 36 (39) | ||||
| 59 (4) | 6 (2) | 5 (5) | ||||
| 304 (19) | 72 (20) | 23 (25) | ||||
| 613 (38) | 157 (43) | 25 (27) | ||||
| 60 (4) | 7 (2) | 4 (4) | ||||
| Dose of TBI, cGy | 1603 | 352 | 86 | |||
| 1058 (66) | 246 (70) | 58 (67) | ||||
| 421 (26) | 79 (22) | 18 (21) | ||||
| 124 (8) | 27 (8) | 10 (12) | ||||
| GVHD prophylaxis | 1649 | 370 | 94 | |||
| 102 (6) | 25 (7) | 9 (10) | ||||
| 58 (4) | 10 (3) | 4 (4) | ||||
| 1324 (80) | 293 (79) | 66 (70) | ||||
| 165 (10) | 42 (11) | 15 (16) | ||||
| Donor age | 1580 | 352 | 88 | |||
| 460 (29) | 73 (21) | 8 (9) | ||||
| 534 (34) | 123 (35) | 25 (28) | ||||
| 405 (26) | 98 (28) | 40 (45) | ||||
| 181 (11) | 58 (16) | 15 (17) | ||||
| Sex match | 1647 | 370 | 94 | |||
| 523 (32) | 141 (38) | 43 (46) | ||||
| 405 (25) | 55 (15) | 16 (17) | ||||
| 365 (22) | 121 (33) | 25 (27) | ||||
| 354 (21) | 53 (14) | 10 (11) | ||||
| Donor-recipient CMV status | 1555 | 350 | 91 | |||
| 391 (25) | 89 (25) | 24 (26) | ||||
| 200 (13) | 45 (13) | 14 (15) | ||||
| 183 (12) | 40 (11) | 10 (11) | ||||
| 781 (50) | 176 (50) | 43 (47) | ||||
| Graft type | 1649 | 370 | 94 | |||
| 1331 (81) | 301 (81) | 78 (83) | ||||
| 318 (19) | 69 (19) | 16 (17) | ||||
| Use of ATG or Campath | 1627 | 15 (1) | 365 | 3 (1) | 94 | 4 (4) |
| Lung shielding in radiation therapy | 1587 | 262 (17) | 360 | 50 (14) | 92 | 11 (12) |
| Follow-up of surviving patients, month | 1649 | 91 (2-209) | 370 | 98 (1-199) | 94 | 115 (19-193) |
∗Low-dose smokers |
†Cy dose range 100-150 |
Overall, in the sibling allograft group, high-dose smokers compared to NS were slightly older, more were male (72% versus 54%), had a lower diagnostic white cell count (WCC), slightly more were female-to-male transplants (27% versus 22%) and had a higher EBMT risk score (83% versus 66% were 2-4, P < .001). Fewer high-dose smokers had no coexisting medical diseases (52% versus 78%, P < .001).
There was no evidence that the transplants were performed differently in smokers; cytotoxic drug doses were similar in the 2 groups as was the dose of TBI, and there was no difference in lung shielding.
Major Outcomes on Univariate Analysis
In the matched sibling donor group, survival at 5 years was significantly lower in the high-dose smoker group (50%) compared to the NS and low-dose smoker groups (68% and 62%, respectively) (Table 3 and Figure 1). DFS was 20% lower in the high-dose group than the BS group (44% versus 64%, P < .001). TRM at 5 years was similar in the nonsmoker and low-dose smoker groups (28% versus 32%), but considerably higher in the high-dose smoker group (50%, P < .001). The absolute 5-year incidence of relapse is similar in the NS and low- and high-dose smoker groups (8% versus 10% vesus 6%, respectively). There are no differences in the incidence of bronchopneumonia, interstitial pneumonitis (IP), and broncholitis obliterans among the 3 groups (Table 3). There were no significant interactions between smoking and conditioning regimen (P
=
.309 for TRM) or between smoking and GVHD prophylaxis (P
=
.310 for TRM).
Table 2. Characteristics of Patients ≥18 Years Receiving Matched Unrelated Donor Transplants for CML in First Chronic Phase, Reported to the CIBMTR, 1990-2004
| Smokers | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nonsmokers | L.ow Dose∗ | High Dose∗ | ||||
| Variables | N | N (%) | N | N (%) | N | N (%) |
| Number of patients | 544 | 131 | 30 | |||
| Age at transplant, years, median (range) | 544 | 34 (18-61) | 131 | 37 (19-58) | 30 | 43 (19-53) |
| Age at transplant, years | 544 | 131 | 30 | |||
| 165 (30) | 30 (23) | 2 (7) | ||||
| 214 (39) | 46 (35) | 8 (27) | ||||
| 145 (27) | 45 (34) | 15 (50) | ||||
| 20 (4) | 10 (8) | 5 (17) | ||||
| Male | 544 | 317 (58) | 131 | 89 (68) | 30 | 24 (80) |
| Region | 544 | 131 | 30 | |||
| 173 (32) | 52 (40) | 19 (63) | ||||
| 31 (6) | 8 (6) | 2 (7) | ||||
| 245 (45) | 56 (43) | 7 (23) | ||||
| 54 (10) | 13 (10) | 1 (3) | ||||
| 20 (4) | 1 (1) | 0 (0) | ||||
| 8 (1) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | ||||
| 13 (2) | 1 (1) | 1 (3) | ||||
| Karnofsky score (<90%) | 535 | 49 (9) | 131 | 11 (8) | 30 | 5 (17) |
| Number of packs per day | 131 | 30 | ||||
| – | 131 (100) | – | ||||
| – | – | 30 (100) | ||||
| Number of years smoked, median (range) | – | 131 | 15 (2-35) | 30 | 20 (6-35) | |
| Smoking pack-year, median (range) | – | 131 | 10 (1-35) | 30 | 35 (12-93) | |
| Smoking pack-year | 131 | 30 | ||||
| – | 66 (50) | – | ||||
| – | 65 (50) | 30 (100) | ||||
| Body mass index, kg/m2 | 535 | 126 | 30 | |||
| 116 (22) | 31 (25) | 5 (17) | ||||
| 338 (63) | 73 (58) | 17 (57) | ||||
| 81 (15) | 22 (17) | 8 (27) | ||||
| White cell count at diagnosis, 109/L, median (range) | 487 | 150 (4-790) | 115 | 126 (1-779) | 30 | 116 (19-334) |
| White cell count at diagnosis, 109/L | 487 | 115 | 30 | |||
| 84 (17) | 34 (30) | 6 (20) | ||||
| 83 (17) | 17 (15) | 7 (23) | ||||
| 320 (66) | 64 (56) | 17 (57) | ||||
| Spleen size at diagnosis | 452 | 108 | 26 | |||
| 147 (33) | 53 (49) | 9 (35) | ||||
| 305 (67) | 55 (51) | 17 (65) | ||||
| Coexisting diseases | 543 | 131 | 30 | |||
| 3 (1) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | ||||
| 26 (5) | 8 (6) | 5 (17) | ||||
| 9 (2) | 3 (2) | 3 (10) | ||||
| 78 (14) | 18 (14) | 5 (17) | ||||
| 427 (79) | 102 (78) | 17 (57) | ||||
| Pretransplant therapy for CML | ||||||
| 538 | 507 (94) | 130 | 114 (88) | 30 | 24 (80) | |
| 479 | 308 (64) | 118 | 86 (73) | 25 | 17 (68) | |
| 543 | 48 (9) | 131 | 5 (4) | 30 | 0 (0) | |
| Time from diagnosis to transplant, months, median (range) | 544 | 15 (1-111) | 131 | 16 (3-95) | 30 | 17 (6-39) |
| Time from diagnosis to transplant, months | 544 | 131 | 30 | |||
| 50 (9) | 6 (5) | 0 (0) | ||||
| 145 (27) | 38 (29) | 11 (37) | ||||
| 180 (33) | 54 (41) | 14 (47) | ||||
| 169 (31) | 33 (25) | 5 (17) | ||||
| EBMT risk score | 526 | 122 | 28 | |||
| 10 (2) | 0 (0) | 1 (4) | ||||
| 130 (25) | 21 (17) | 0 (0) | ||||
| 226 (43) | 52 (43) | 12 (43) | ||||
| 144 (27) | 42 (34) | 12 (43) | ||||
| 16 (3) | 7 (6) | 3 (11) | ||||
| Year of transplant | 544 | 131 | 30 | |||
| 192 (35) | 59 (45) | 17 (57) | ||||
| 228 (42) | 57 (44) | 13 (43) | ||||
| 124 (23) | 15 (11) | 0 (0) | ||||
| Conditioning regimen | 544 | 131 | 30 | |||
| 409 (75) | 100 (76) | 26 (87) | ||||
| 135 (25) | 31 (24) | 4 (13) | ||||
| Degree of matching | 538 | 130 | 29 | |||
| 68 (13) | 19 (15) | 5 (17) | ||||
| 162 (30) | 40 (31) | 13 (45) | ||||
| 211 (39) | 57 (44) | 9 (31) | ||||
| 97 (18) | 14 (11) | 2 (7) | ||||
| Dose of Cy,† mg/kg | 466 | 107 | 23 | |||
| 415 (89) | 93 (87) | 21 (91) | ||||
| 51 (11) | 14 (13) | 2 (9) | ||||
| Dose of Bu, mg/kg | 542 | 129 | 30 | |||
| 409 (75) | 100 (78) | 26 (87) | ||||
| 13 (2) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | ||||
| 28 (5) | 6 (5) | 0 (0) | ||||
| 85 (16) | 21 (16) | 3 (10) | ||||
| 7 (1) | 2 (2) | 1 (3) | ||||
| Dose of TBI, cGy | 523 | 124 | 29 | |||
| 135 (26) | 31 (25) | 4 (14) | ||||
| 251 (48) | 65 (52) | 13 (45) | ||||
| 137 (26) | 28 (23) | 12 (41) | ||||
| GVHD prophylaxis | 544 | 131 | 30 | |||
| 117 (22) | 29 (22) | 7 (23) | ||||
| 67 (12) | 10 (8) | 3 (10) | ||||
| 344 (63) | 87 (66) | 19 (63) | ||||
| 16 (3) | 5 (4) | 1 (3) | ||||
| Donor age | 465 | 105 | 24 | |||
| 132 (28) | 20 (19) | 6 (25) | ||||
| 180 (39) | 54 (51) | 10 (42) | ||||
| 134 (29) | 26 (25) | 5 (21) | ||||
| 19 (4) | 5 (5) | 3 (13) | ||||
| Gender match | 532 | 124 | 28 | |||
| 213 (40) | 57 (46) | 12 (43) | ||||
| 122 (23) | 30 (24) | 3 (11) | ||||
| 97 (18) | 26 (21) | 10 (36) | ||||
| 100 (19) | 11 (9) | 3 (11) | ||||
| Donor-recipient CMV status | 513 | 121 | 26 | |||
| 183 (36) | 39 (32) | 9 (35) | ||||
| 116 (23) | 40 (33) | 4 (15) | ||||
| 81 (16) | 11 (9) | 4 (15) | ||||
| 133 (26) | 31 (26) | 9 (35) | ||||
| Graft type | 544 | 131 | 30 | |||
| 505 (93) | 127 (97) | 29 (97) | ||||
| 39 (7) | 4 (3) | 1 (3) | ||||
| Use of ATG or Campath | 505 | 172 (34) | 121 | 33 (27) | 28 | 8 (29) |
| Lung shielding in radiation therapy | 505 | 170 (34) | 119 | 43 (36) | 29 | 13 (45) |
| Follow-up of surviving patients, months | 544 | 79 (4-194) | 131 | 90 (4-195) | 30 | 109 (13-157) |
∗Low-dose smokers |
†Cy dose range 100-150 |
Table 3. Univariate Outcome of Patients ≥18 Year Receiving Allogeneic Transplants for CML in First Chronic Phase, Reported to the CIBMTR, 1990-2004
| HLA-Matched Siblings Donor | Unrelated Donor | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smoker Group∗ Outcomes | N | Never (95% CI) | N | Low Dose (95% CI) | N | High Dose (95% CI) | P-Value | N | Never (95% CI) | N | Low Dose (95% CI) | N | High Dose (95% CI) | P-Value |
| Relapse | 1565 | 347 | 88 | 514 | 119 | 30 | .837 | |||||||
| 1 (0-1) | 1 (0-3) | 0 | .013 | 1 (0-2) | 1 (0-3) | 0 | ||||||||
| 3 (2-4) | 6 (4-9) | 3 (1-8) | 3 (2-5) | 3 (1-8) | 0 | |||||||||
| 6 (5-8) | 9 (6-12) | 3 (1-8) | 6 (4-8) | 5 (2-10) | 0 | |||||||||
| 8 (7-9) | 10 (7-14) | 6 (2-12) | 7 (5-9) | 5 (2-10) | 0† | |||||||||
| TRM | 1565 | 347 | 88 | <.001 | 514 | 119 | 30 | .200 | ||||||
| 12 (10-13) | 11 (8-15) | 17 (10-26) | 23 (19-26) | 19 (13-27) | 33 (18-51) | |||||||||
| 22 (20-25) | 24 (20-29) | 28 (20-38) | 41 (37-46) | 42 (33-51) | 57 (39-74) | |||||||||
| 27 (24-29) | 29 (24-34) | 41 (31-52) | 46 (42-51) | 48 (39-57) | 64 (46-80) | |||||||||
| 28 (25-30) | 32 (27-37) | 50 (40-61) | 49 (44-53) | 50 (41-59) | 68 (50-83) | |||||||||
| DFS | 1565 | 347 | 88 | <.001 | 514 | 119 | 30 | .293 | ||||||
| 88 (86-89) | 87 (83-90) | 83 (74-90) | 76 (72-80) | 80 (72-86) | 67 (49-82) | |||||||||
| 75 (73-77) | 70 (65-75) | 68 (58-77) | 56 (51-60) | 54 (45-63) | 43 (26-61) | |||||||||
| 67 (65-69) | 63 (57-68) | 55 (45-66) | 48 (43-52) | 47 (37-56) | 36 (20-54) | |||||||||
| 64 (62-67) | 58 (52-63) | 44 (33-54) | 44 (40-49) | 44 (35-54) | 32 (17-50) | |||||||||
| Bronchopneumonia | 1575 | 363 | 88 | .602 | 512 | 129 | 30 | .963 | ||||||
| 10 (8-11) | 12 (9-16) | 11 (6-19) | 16 (13-19) | 15 (9-21) | 10 (2-23) | |||||||||
| 18 (16-20) | 17 (14-21) | 19 (11-28) | 25 (21-29) | 26 (18-34) | 23 (10-40) | |||||||||
| 23 (21-25) | 23 (19-28) | 26 (17-36) | 30 (26-35) | 29 (21-37) | 31 (16-48) | |||||||||
| 25 (22-27) | 26 (21-31) | 26 (17-36) | 30 (26-35) | 31 (23-40) | 31 (16-48) | |||||||||
| IPN | 1634 | 359 | 94 | .018 | 534 | 129 | 29 | .671 | ||||||
| 6 (5-7) | 8 (5-11) | 14 (8-22) | 13 (10-16) | 12 (7-19) | 14 (4-28) | |||||||||
| 11 (10-13) | 12 (9-15) | 21 (13-30) | 20 (16-23) | 17 (11-25) | 21 (8-37) | |||||||||
| 12 (11-14) | 14 (10-18) | 21 (13-30) | 21 (17-24) | 18 (12-26) | 25 (11-42) | |||||||||
| 13 (11-15) | 15 (11-19) | 21 (13-30) | 21 (18-25) | 18 (12-26) | 25 (11-42) | |||||||||
| BO | 1320 | 298 | 78 | .731 | 444 | 104 | 25 | .473 | ||||||
| 0 (0-1) | 0 | 1 (0-5) | 0 (0-1) | 0 (0-100) | 0 (0-100) | |||||||||
| 2 (1-3) | 3 (1-5) | 3 (0-7) | 3 (2-5) | 2 (0-6) | 0 (0-100) | |||||||||
| 4 (3-5) | 4 (2-7) | 4 (1-10) | 5 (3-7) | 2 (0-6) | 8 (0-27) | |||||||||
| 4 (3-6) | 5 (2-8) | 6 (2-13) | 5 (3-8) | 2 (0-6) | 8 (0-27) | |||||||||
| Overall survival | 1649 | 370 | 88 | <.001 | 512 | 119 | 30 | .278 | ||||||
| 88 (86-89) | 88 (84-91) | 83 (74-90) | 76 (72-79) | 80 (71-86) | 67 (49-82) | |||||||||
| 76 (74-78) | 73 (69-78) | 72 (62-80) | 56 (52-60) | 56 (47-65) | 43 (26-61) | |||||||||
| 70 (68-73) | 66 (62-71) | 59 (48-69) | 50 (46-54) | 48 (39-57) | 36 (20-54) | |||||||||
| 68 (66-70) | 62 (57-67) | 50 (40-61) | 46 (41-50) | 46 (37-55) | 32 (17-50) | |||||||||
∗Low-dose smokers |
†No relapses were reported for the high-dose smokers in the unrelated donor group, although small sample size and high TRM are important considerations. Confidence intervals are not relevant. |

Figure 1
Probability of OS of patients ≥18 years receiving HLA-identical siblings allogeneic transplants for CML in first chronic phase, reported to the CIBMTR, 1990-2004.
Although TRM was higher and DFS and OS were lower in the high-dose recipients of unrelated donor grafts, this was not significant (P-value
=
.2, .3, and .3 respectively); this may relate to there being only 30 such patients.
Multivariate Analysis of Major Outcomes in Sibling Allograft Group
RelapsePCS overall had a higher relative risk (RR) of relapse (RR
=
1.67, P
=
.003). There was some evidence of a dose effect, although this was not consistent. More than 10 years smoking duration was associated with a higher RR of relapse; however, a higher number of packs smoked per day (data not shown) or high-dose smoking overall were not associated with a higher chance of relapse. There was no difference in the incidence of acute GVHD (aGVHD) and chronic GVHD (cGHVD) in PCS and NCS (58% versus 57% and 51% versus 50%, respectively, P
=
.60 and .46. respectively).
A multivariate analysis comparing TRM in sibling allograft recipients is shown in Table 4. The relative risk of TRM is not different between NS and PCS overall. However, high-dose smoking was strongly associated with a higher TRM (RR
=
1.57, P
=
.005).
Table 4. Multivariate Analysis Comparing Outcomes among Patients ≥18 Years Old Receiving Transplants for CML in First Chronic Phase, Reported to the CIBMTR, 1990-2004
| Variables | N | Relative Risk (95% CI) | P-Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HLA-identical sibling donor | |||
| Relapse∗ | |||
| 1563 | 1.00 | .008 | |
| 347 | 1.75 (1.23-2.49) | .002 | |
| 88 | 1.02 (0.44-2.36) | .960 | |
| Treatment-related mortality‡ | |||
| 1563 | 1.00 | .008 | |
| 347 | 0.95 (0.77-1.88) | .657 | |
| 88 | 1.57 (1.14-2.14) | .005 | |
| Disease-free survival§ | |||
| 1563 | 1.00 | .012 | |
| 347 | 1.14 (0.95-1.37) | .162 | |
| 88 | 1.52 (1.14-2.04) | .005 | |
| Overall survival¶ | |||
| 1563 | 1.00 | .049 | |
| 370 | 1.01 (0.84-1.22) | .910 | |
| 94 | 1.44 (1.07-1.93) | .015 | |
| Unrelated donor transplants | |||
| Relapse⊥ | |||
| 514 | 1.00 | ||
| 149 | 0.67 (0.28-1.56) | .351 | |
| Treatment-related mortality∗∗ | |||
| 514 | 1.00 | ||
| 149 | 1.02 (0.79-1.33) | .861 | |
| Disease-free survival†† | |||
| 514 | 1.00 | ||
| 149 | 0.97 (0.76-1.25) | .834 | |
| Overall survival‡‡ | |||
| 544 | 1.00 | ||
| 161 | 0.96 (0.75-1.21) | .708 | |
∗Relapse model adjusted for recipient age, gender, region, spleen size at diagonosis, and GVHD prophylaxis. |
†Low-dose smokers |
‡TRM model adjusted for recipient age, sex, region, karnofsky score, GVHD prophylaxis, WBC count, EBMT risk score, and graft sources. Stratified on conditioning regimen/dose group. |
§DFS model adjusted for recipient age, sex, region, karnofsky score, GVHD prophylaxis, and time from diagnosis to transplant. Stratified on conditioning regimen/dose group. |
¶Overall survival model adjusted for recipient age, sex, region, Karnofsky score, GVHD prophylaxis, EBMT risk score, and graft sources. Stratified on conditioning regimen/dose group. |
⊥Relapse model adjusted for recipient age, sex, and region. |
∗∗TRM model adjusted for recipient age, sex, region, recipient CMV, GVHD prophylaxis, and EBMT risk score. |
††DFS adjusted for recipient age, sex, region, recipient CMV, GVHD prophylaxis, and EBMT risk score. |
‡‡Overall survival model adjusted for recipient age, sex, region, recipient CMV, year of transplant, GVHD prophylaxis, and EBMT risk score. |
The effect of smoking on risk of TRM is significantly increased among 28-day survivors (RR
=
1.65, P
=
.002), and, importantly, remains elevated for 100-day survivors (RR
=
1.81, P
=
.002) and 1-year survivors (RR
=
3.29, P < .001), suggesting a consistent effect over time.
DFS was shorter in PCS (RR
=
1.22, P
=
.019). There were clear dose effects. High-dose smokers had a significantly shorter DFS (RR
=
1.52, P
=
.005, Table 4).
However, OS was only affected by high-dose smoking (RR
=
1.44, P
=
.015), and this was confirmed by dose effects (Table 4). The distribution of causes of death, as reported by the hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) centers, was similar for the related and unrelated transplant recipients (Tables 5 and 6).
Table 5. Reported Causes of Death of Patients ≥18 Years Receiving HLA-Identical Sibling Donor Transplants for CML in First Chronic Phase, Reported to the CIBMTR, 1990-2004
| Smokers | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nonsmokers | Low Dose | High Dose | |
| Causes | N (%) | N (%) | N (%) |
| GVHD | 132 (24) | 32 (23) | 9 (18) |
| IPN | 95 (18) | 24 (17) | 9 (18) |
| Infection | 103 (19) | 31 (22) | 13 (25) |
| New malignancy | 5 (1) | 5 (4) | 1 (2) |
| Organ failure | 53 (10) | 14 (10) | 9 (18) |
| Other cause | 80 (15) | 20 (14) | 8 (16) |
| Primary disease | 73 (13) | 15 (11) | 2 (4) |
Table 6. Reported Causes of Death of Patients
≥
18 Years Receiving Unrelated Donor Transplants for CML in First Chronic Phase, Reported to the CIBMTR, 1990-2004
| Smokers | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nonsmokers | Low Dose | High Dose | |
| Causes | N (%) | N (%) | N (%) |
| GVHD | 60 (21) | 18 (24) | 7 (33) |
| IPN | 59 (20) | 9 (12) | 5 (24) |
| Infection | 79 (27) | 17 (23) | 2 (10) |
| New malignancy | 3 (1) | 1 (1) | 1 (5) |
| Organ failure | 27 (9) | 14 (19) | 2 (10) |
| Other cause | 43 (15) | 8 (11) | 3 (14) |
| Primary disease | 20 (7) | 8 (11) | 1 (5) |
We further analyzed outcomes in the group of patients with a Karnofsky score <90 at transplant and found no differences between PCS and NS (data not shown).
MUD transplant recipientsThe clinical characteristics of MUD recipients are shown in Table 2 and univariate analysis of outcomes in Table 3. For these analyses we compared NS and low-dose smokers (combined) with high-dose smokers. TRM was lower in BS and low-dose smokers compared to high-dose smokers (49% versus 68%), but this was not significant (P
=
.074). Survival at 5 years in the high-dose group was 32% compared to 46% in the NS and low-dose smoker groups (P
=
.115). In the multivariate analyses, we compared NS with PCS (Table 4). There were no differences in the major outcomes (relapse, TRM, DFS, or OS) between the 2 groups. Dose effects were also tested and no significant differences were found.
Discussion
Smoking has profound effects on health, causing higher rates of malignancy, cardiac, and pulmonary disease [12]. Nonetheless, a significant percentage of transplant candidates will be PCS and physicians take smoking history as part of the pretransplant evaluation. Some regard smokers as inferior transplant candidates, and in borderline cases it may be a factor in the decision to proceed to transplant.
The major findings of this study are that in sibling allograft recipients high-dose smoking (>10 pack years and >1 pack/day [20% of smokers]) was associated with clinically and statistically significantly reduced DFS and OS compared to NS. The absolute magnitude of the reduction in survival of 18% is important, and both transplanters and high-dose smoking patients should be aware of these data. This effect is mediated by a higher TRM (50% versus 28%), and although the RR of relapse was higher in smokers overall, it was not increased in the high-dose group. Analysis of univariate outcomes (Table 3) suggested an effect on IP (P
=
.018), but no effect on bronchopneumonia or bronchiolitis obliterans. The effects of smoking on TRM may not be just pulmonary, as smoking has the potential to affect the function of other vital organs. Despite these findings we are not advocating that transplanters should withhold this therapy from this patient subset nor should it affect a patient's health insurance status. Future research should focus on reducing the higher TRM in the high-dose smoking group. Reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC) is one possible way of achieving this. We did not see significant effects on TRM and survival in the lower dose smoking group; this is biologically plausible, but a prospective study would be of value in clarifying this finding. It is worth noting that there were no major differences in outcome in the recipients of unrelated donor transplants; it is possible that the higher TRM associated with unrelated transplantation masked a separate effect of smoking. Small numbers in the high-dose group reduced the chance of demonstrating significant differences.
Smoking may also have had an effect on relapse; however, this was only seen in low-dose smokers (RR
=
1.75) on multivariate analysis. The lack of an effect in high-dose smokers may result from the higher TRM in this group. The apparent effect in low-dose smokers was not because of RIC or via an effect on GVHD. Smoking may be immunomodulatory (inflammatory bowel disease is more common in smokers) [13]; donor T cells may be rendered less able to mediate a graft-versus-leukemia (GVL) effect. However, we do not have data about smoking posttransplant. A mouse model showed effects on dendritic cells and on T cell proliferation [14]. The smoking status of the donor might be of greater importance in this effect, and there is a high incidence of smoking in the siblings of smokers [15]. This could explain the fact that there was no increase in relapse in unrelated donor recipients who tend to be healthy and smoke less. However, the minority of smokers who continue to smoke posttransplant may affect the donor T cells on a continuing basis. In a study from Boston [16] the risk of relapse appeared to be higher in smokers and increased with each pack year of exposure. In that study, 14 of 17 patients who had relapse smoked (P
=
.01). The same group, however, found no effect of smoking on 1-year survival [17].
Additionally, there may be effects on pulmonary function, although reports vary. Twenty years ago the Seattle group [18] found that smoking was associated with a lower FEV1/FVC at 1 year posttransplant (P
=
.01); the effect on pulmonary function tests (particularly gas transfer) at 1 year was confirmed by a French group [19]. Gas transfer was impaired at baseline and during the first year posttransplant in smokers, including in transplants with non-TBI conditioning [20]. Savani and colleagues [3] found that smoking increased TBI-related pulmonary mortality 5-fold, but that this effect could be reduced by giving a high CD34 dose. However, effects on pulmonary outcomes were not seen after all studies. Ho and colleagues [4] from Boston found no increase in severe pulmonary complications posttransplant.
This study has limitations that should influence data interpretation. First, the registry forms did not capture whether the smoking was current or past or if smoking was resumed after transplant. Second, we had limited “dose” data and could not calculate pack years accurately in many cases, which may explain the inconsistent dose-related findings. Third, the self-reported smoking history may be inaccurate and there may be some underreporting. Fourth, knowledge of the demographic factors that are associated with smoking [21] would have improved our ability to make conclusions. Finally, in retrospect, it might have been informative to examine outcomes in other transplant eligible diseases, as smoking may have more effect in patients who had substantial pretransplant chemotherapy. In many countries fewer patients with early phase CML proceed to transplant now; however, the EBMT risk score for CML has been validated for other diseases, and it seems likely that the effect seen in CML patients would also be seen in patients with other hematologic malignancies. Patients with diseases such as acute leukemia are exposed to recurrent episodes of neutropenia, which has the potential to augment some of the organ-related effects of smoking including pulmonary infection.
Further examination of this issue would require a prospective study; this would have several advantages. There would be more accurate correlation of past and current exposure of patients and their donors with outcome, and this could be associated with regular pulmonary function tests. There would also be the opportunity to collect patient-reported outcomes and determine if there are effects on rehospitalization, chest infections, and reemployment. Furthermore, prospective demographic data could be collected, allowing the study to separate the effects of smoking from effects that the different demographic characteristics that smokers may have. Nonetheless, this study presents clinically important findings. It is the largest study ever that examines the impact of smoking on transplant outcome, and contains data that patients and transplanters will be able to use in making clinical decisions.
Acknowledgments
Financial disclosure: The CIBMTR is supported by Public Health Service Grant U24-CA76518 from the National Cancer Institute, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute; Office of Naval Research; Health Resources and Services Administration (DHHS); and grants from AABB; Aetna; American Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation; Amgen, Inc.; anonymous donation to the Medical College of Wisconsin; Association of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Disease Canada; Astellas Pharma US, Inc.; Baxter International, Inc.; Bayer HealthCare Pharmaceuticals; Blood Center of Wisconsin; Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association; Bone Marrow Foundation; Canadian Blood and Marrow Transplant Group; Celgene Corporation; CellGenix, GmbH; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; ClinImmune Labs; CTI Clinical Trial and Consulting Services; Cubist Pharmaceuticals; Cylex Inc.; CytoTherm; DOR BioPharma, Inc.; Dynal Biotech, an Invitrogen Company; Enzon Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation; Gambro BCT, Inc.; Gamida Cell, Ltd.; Genzyme Corporation; Histogenetics, Inc.; HKS Medical Information Systems; Hospira, Inc.; Infectious Diseases Society of America; Kiadis Pharma; Kirin Brewery Co., Ltd.; Merck & Company; The Medical College of Wisconsin; MGI Pharma, Inc.; Michigan Community Blood Centers; Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Miller Pharmacal Group; Milliman USA, Inc.; Miltenyi Biotec, Inc.; National Marrow Donor Program; Nature Publishing Group; New York Blood Center; Novartis Oncology; Oncology Nursing Society; Osiris Therapeutics, Inc.; Otsuka Pharmaceutical Development & Commercialization, Inc.; Pall Life Sciences; PDL BioPharma, Inc; Pfizer Inc.; Pharmion Corporation; Saladax Biomedical, Inc.; Schering Plough Corporation; Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America; StemCyte, Inc.; StemSoft Software, Inc.; Sysmex; Teva Pharmaceutical Industries; The Marrow Foundation; THERAKOS, Inc.; Vidacare Corporation; Vion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; ViraCor Laboratories; ViroPharma, Inc.; and Wellpoint, Inc. The views expressed in this article do not reflect the official policy or position of the National Institutes of Health, the Department of the Navy, the Department of Defense, or any other agency of the U.S. Government.
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Financial disclosure: See Acknowledgments on page 1287.
PII: S1083-8791(09)00277-8
doi:10.1016/j.bbmt.2009.06.005
© 2009 American Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Volume 15, Issue 10 , Pages 1277-1287, October 2009
